05.07.2024 14:56:56 - dpa-AFX: MARKET ANALYSIS: Futures Inch Higher As Treasury Yields Drop Following Jobs Report
WASHINGTON (dpa-AFX) - The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing
to a modestly higher open on Friday, with stocks poised to extend the upward
move seen over the past few sessions.
The futures edged higher following the release of the Labor Department's closely
watched monthly employment report for June.
While employment jumped by more than expected in June, the report also showed
downward revisions to job growth in April and May as well as another unexpected
uptick by the unemployment rate.
The Labor Department said non-farm payroll employment shot up by 206,000 jobs in
June compared to economist estimates for an increase of about 190,000 jobs.
However, the report also showed the increases in employment in April and May
were downwardly revised to 108,000 jobs and 218,000 jobs, respectively,
reflecting a net downward revision of 111,000 jobs.
The unemployment rate also rose for the third straight month, inching up to 4.1
percent in June from 4.0 percent in May. Economists had expected the
unemployment rate to remain unchanged.
With the unexpected uptick, the unemployment rate reached its highest level
since hitting a matching rate in November 2021.
Treasury yields have moved lower following the release of the report amid
optimism the continued increase by the unemployment rate will convince the
Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in the near future.
Nonetheless, overall trading activity may be somewhat subdued on the day, as
some traders remain away from their desks following the Independence Day holiday
on Thursday.
After moving mostly higher to start the week, stocks saw further upside over the
course of the trading session on Wednesday. With the continued upward move, the
Nasdaq and the S&P 500 once again reached new record closing highs in an
abbreviated trading session.
The Nasdaq advanced 159.54 points or 0.9 percent to 18,188.30 and the S&P 500
climbed 28.01 points or 0.5 percent, although the narrower Dow bucked the
uptrend and edged down 23.85 points or 0.1 percent to 39,308.00.
The strength on Wall Street may partly have reflected optimism about the outlook
for interest rates following the release of some weaker than expected economic
data.
A report released by the Institute for Supply Management showed an unexpected
contraction by U.S. service sector activity in the month of June.
The ISM said its services PMI slid to 48.8 in June from 53.8 in May, with a
reading below 50 indicating contraction. Economists had expected the index to
edge down to 52.5.
On the inflation front, the prices index dipped to 56.3 in June from 58.1 in
June, indicating a modest slowdown in the pace of price growth.
'The Fed will be glad to see that the ISM Services PMI reported cooler
inflation, and a little concerned that the economy seems to be losing momentum,'
said Bill Adams, Chief Economist for Comerica Bank. 'But controlling inflation
is still the Fed's number one priority.'
'They are unlikely to feel comfortable enough with progress on that front to cut
rates at the July decision,' he added. 'Even so, odds of a rate cut at the
following decision in September are higher in light of June's weak ISM PMIs and
rising jobless claims.'
The Labor Department released a separate report showing a modest increase by
first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits in the week ended June 29th.
The report said initial jobless claims rose to 238,000, an increase of 4,000
from the previous week's revised level of 234,000.
Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 235,000 from the 233,000
originally reported for the previous week.
Payroll processor ADP also released a report showing private sector employment
in the U.S. increased by slightly less than expected in the month of June.
ADP said private sector employment climbed by 150,000 jobs in June after rising
by an upwardly revised 157,000 jobs in May.
Economists had expected private sector employment to increase by 160,000 jobs
compared to the addition of 152,000 jobs originally reported for the previous
month.
However, overall trading activity remained somewhat subdued, as the markets
closed earlier than usual and remained closed for the Independence Day holiday
on Thursday.
Gold stocks showed a substantial move to the upside, resulting in a 3.6 percent
spike by the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index. The rally by gold stocks came amid a
sharp increase by the price of the precious metal.
Significant strength was also visible among semiconductor stocks, as reflected
by the 1.9 percent jump by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.
Steel stocks also turned in a strong performance on the day, driving the NYSE
Arca Steel Index up by 1.8 percent.
Airline, networking and oil service stocks also saw some strength, while
pharmaceutical and healthcare stocks moved to the downside.
Commodity, Currency Markets
Crude oil futures are inching up $0.09 to $83.97 a barrel after jumping $1.07 to
$83.88 a barrel on Wednesday. Meanwhile, after surging $36 to $2,369.40 an ounce
in the previous session, gold futures are rising $9 to $2,378.40 an ounce.
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar is trading at 160.86 yen versus the
161.28 yen it fetched on Thursday. Against the euro, the dollar is valued at
$1.0825 compared to yesterday's $1.0812.
Asia
Asian stocks fell broadly on Friday as EU tariffs on Chinese imports took effect
and China announced the next step in its anti-dumping investigation into
European brandy imports.
Traders also reacted to the British general election results and braced for
France's runoff election on Sunday that could see the country's first far-right
government since the World War II Nazi occupation - or no majority emerging at
all.
The dollar retreated from its elevated levels as traders eyed the all-important
U.S. jobs report later in the day for clues on the Federal Reserve's future
policy path.
Oil prices were on course for another weekly gain despite dipping in Asian
trading. Gold prices were set for a second straight weekly gain on bets the
Federal Reserve might cut interest rates in September.
China's Shanghai Composite Index dipped 0.3 percent to 2,949.93 as European
tariffs on electric cars from China took effect. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index
tumbled 1.3 percent to 17,799.61.
Japanese shares ended on a flat note after a choppy session. The Nikkei 225
Index finished marginally lower at 40,912.37 after hitting another record high
earlier in the day on the back of a weaker yen and expectations for earnings
growth.
The broader Topix Index also briefly hit record levels before reversing course
to end 0.5 percent lower at 2,884.18.
Data showed today that Japanese household spending unexpectedly fell in May, as
higher prices continued to squeeze consumers' purchasing power.
Seoul stocks rallied after Samsung Electronics estimated a more than 15-fold
rise in its second quarter operating profit, benefiting greatly from increased
demand for memory chips from the artificial intelligence industry.
Samsung shares surged 3 percent and rival SK Hynix advanced 2.6 percent, while
the Kospi jumped 1.3 percent to 2,862.23.
Australian markets ended slightly lower after two straight sessions of gains.
The benchmark S&P/ASX 100 Index slipped 0.1 percent to 7,822.30, with
commodity-related stocks and financials leading losses. The broader All
Ordinaries Index ended down 0.1 percent at 8,070.10.
Across the Tasman, New Zealand's benchmark S&P/NZX-50 Index rose 0.4 percent to
11,794.81.
Europe
E uropean stocks have edged higher on Friday after the Labour Party secured a
landslide victory in the U.K. election to end 14 years of Conservative rule, as
widely expected.
Regarding Sunday's parliamentary elections in France, opinion polls show the
second-round run-off vote may lead to a hung parliament with no clear majority.
On the economic front, German industrial production unexpectedly declined in
May, while Eurozone retail sales rose 0.3 percent year-on-year in May after
having seen 0.6 percent growth in April, separate set of data showed.
While the German DAX Index has advanced by 0.8 percent, the French CAC 40 Index
is up by 0.4 percent and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index is up by 0.1 percent.
Roche Holding have moved to the upside after receiving the U.S. FDA approval for
the Vabysmo prefilled syringe (PFS) for treating three leading causes of vision
loss.
Homebuilders traded higher in London, with Barratt Developments, Persimmon and
Taylor Wimpey surging. It is likely that the Labour Party victory will see the
introduction of the Freedom to Buy scheme to replace the Mortgage Guarantee
Scheme.
Aixtron SE shares have also spiked. The German company, which supplies
deposition equipment for chipmakers, announced healthier-than-expected
second-quarter orders.
Automakers BMW, Mercedes Benz and Volkswagen have also moved to the upside as
steep tariffs on Chinese imports took effect.
Meanwhile, HSBC Holdings has fallen after Bloomberg News reported that French
bank BNP Paribas and Swiss lender UBS are showing interest in buying its German
wealth-management unit.
U.S. Economic Reports
A closely watched report released by the Labor Department on Friday showed
employment in the U.S. jumped by more than expected in the month of June,
although the report also showed another unexpected uptick by the unemployment
rate.
The Labor Department said non-farm payroll employment shot up by 206,000 jobs in
June after surging by a downwardly revised 218,000 jobs in May.
Economists had expected employment to climb by about 190,000 jobs compared to
the spike of 272,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month.
Meanwhile, the report said the unemployment rate crept up to 4.1 percent in June
from 4.0 percent in May. Economists had expected the unemployment rate to remain
unchanged.
With the unexpected increase, the unemployment rate reached its highest level
since hitting a matching rate in November 2021.
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|
Name |
WKN |
Börse |
Kurs |
Datum/Zeit |
Diff. |
Diff. % |
Geld |
Brief |
Erster |
Schluss |
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Dow Jones Industrial Average ( |
969420 |
DOW JONES Indizes |
41.175,08 |
23.08.24 22:59:49 |
+462,30 |
+1,14% |
41.073,19 |
41.229,81 |
40.879,12 |
40.712,78 |
![](/mel/img/quote_button.gif) |
NASDAQ COMP. |
969427 |
NASDAQ Indizes |
17.877,79 |
23.08.24 23:16:01 |
+258,44 |
+1,47% |
- |
- |
17.772,73 |
17.619,35 |