10.05.2024 14:50:56 - dpa-AFX: MARKET ANALYSIS: Interest Rate Optimism May Lead To Continued Strength On Wall Street

WASHINGTON (dpa-AFX) - The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing
to a higher open on Friday, with stocks likely to extend the advance seen over
the course of the previous session.

The markets may continue to benefit from renewed optimism about the outlook for
interest rates, which has helped drive the Dow to a seven-day winning streak.

Recent data has pointed to some softness in the U.S. labor market, increasing
investor confidence the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in the coming
months.

While the Fed is still widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged in
June, the chances rates will be lower by September have reached 85.4 percent,
according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

However, early trading activity may be somewhat subdued ahead of the release of
the University of Michigan's preliminary reading on consumer sentiment in the
month of May.

The consumer sentiment index is expected to dip to 76.0 in May after falling to
77.2 in April, although traders may pay closer attention to the readings on
inflation expectations.

Following the lackluster performance seen over the two previous sessions, stocks
moved mostly higher during trading on Thursday. The Dow extended its winning
streak to seven sessions, once again reaching its best closing level in over a
month.

The major averages ended the day just off their highs of the session. The Dow
jumped 331.37 points or 0.9 percent to 39,387.76, the S&P 500 climbed 26.41
points or 0.5 percent to 5,214.08 and the Nasdaq rose 43.51 points or 0.3
percent to 16,346.26.

The strength on Wall Street came following the release of a Labor Department
report showing a much bigger than expected increase by first-time claims for
U.S. unemployment benefits in the week ended May 4th.

The report said initial jobless claims climbed to 231,000, an increase of 22,000
from the previous week's revised level of 209,000.

Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 210,000 from the 208,000
originally reported for the previous week.

With the much bigger than expected increase, jobless claims reached their
highest level since hitting 234,000 in week ended August 26th.

The data added to recently renewed optimism that the Federal Reserve will lower
interest rates in the coming months.

Among individual stocks, shares of AppLovin (APP) skyrocketed after the mobile
technology company reported first quarter results that beat expectations on both
the top and bottom lines.

Glasses retailer Warby Parker (WRBY) also showed a substantial move to the
upside after reporting a narrower than expected first quarter loss on revenues
that exceeded estimates.

On the other hand, shares of Airbnb (ABNB) moved sharply lower after the
vacation rental company reported better than expected first quarter results but
provided disappointing guidance.

Telecom stocks moved sharply higher over the course of the trading session,
resulting in a 4.2 percent spike by the NYSE Arca North American Telecom Index.

Significant strength was also visible among gold stocks, as reflected by the 2.5
percent jump by the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index. The strength in the sector came
amid an increase by the price of gold.

Commercial real estate stocks also showed a strong move to the upside on the
day, driving the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index up by 2.1 percent.

Oil service, housing and steel stocks also saw considerable strength, moving
higher along with most of the other major sectors.

Commodity, Currency Markets

Crude oil futures are climbing $0.40 to $79.66 a barrel after rising $0.27 to
$79.26 a barrel on Thursday. Meanwhile, after jumping $18 to $2,340.30 an ounce
in the previous session, gold futures are surging $34.30 to $2,374.60 an ounce.

On the currency front, the U.S. dollar is trading at 155.82 yen versus the
155.48 yen it fetched at the close of New York trading on Thursday. Against the
euro, the dollar is valued at $1.0771 compared to yesterday's $1.0782.

Asia

Asian stocks advanced on Friday, while the dollar and bond yields dipped as
fresh signs of cooling in the U.S. labor market revived hopes for U.S. rate cuts
this year.

Nevertheless, the upside remained capped somewhat due to caution ahead of next
week's crucial U.S. inflation data that could offer important clues on the Fed's
rate trajectory.

The British pound recovered some ground after having touched an over two-week
low on Thursday after the Bank of England signaled it will cut rates this summer
if inflation stays low.

Gold and oil prices were set for weekly gains as Israeli forces advanced in the
southern Gaza city of Rafah despite facing significant international criticism.

Chinese stocks ended on a flat note amid optimism around the economic recovery
and after reports the Biden administration will update its Chinese tariff regime
as soon as next week. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index finished marginally
higher at 3,154.55.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index jumped 2.3 percent to 18,963.68 after reports
regulators are considering a proposal to exempt individual investors from paying
taxes on dividends earned from Hong Kong stocks bought via Stock Connect.

Japanese markets eked out modest gains as investors cheered positive earnings
updates. The Nikkei 225 Index rose 0.4 percent to 38,229.11, while the broader
Topix Index settled 0.5 percent higher at 2,728.21.

Gaming stocks outperformed, with Konami Group surging 9.3 percent, Bandai Namco
Holdings adding 5.6 percent and Nintendo rising 3.3 percent. Electrical
equipment manufacturer Daikin Industries spiked 8.2 percent.

Seoul stocks closed higher, with the Kospi rising 0.6 percent to 2,727.63 on
hopes for U.S. rate cuts later this year.

Australian markets ended modestly higher, with banks and energy stocks leading
the charge. The benchmark S&P ASX 200 Index climbed 0.4 percent to 7,749, while
the broader All Ordinaries index settled up 0.4 percent at 8,022.70.

The big four banks rose between 0.4 percent and 1.3 percent. In the energy
sector, Woodside Energy Group climbed 1.9 percent and Santos added 2.1 percent.

Across the Tasman, New Zealand's benchmark S&P NZX-50 Index ended marginally
higher at 11,755.17 after a survey showed tentative signs of recovery in the
country's manufacturing sector in April.

Europe

European stocks have advanced on Friday as signs of a weakening U.S. labor
market stoked optimism that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in the
coming months.

The Bank of England's dovish rate decision on Thursday and better-than-expected
U.K. GDP growth data released earlier today also boosted investor sentiment.

The Bank of England held interest rates steady on Thursday but signaled it will
cut rates this summer if inflation stays low.

The British pound strengthened against other major currencies after data showed
the U.K. economy exited a technical recession in the first quarter, led by a
rebound in services output and household spending.

According to data from the Office for National Statistics, U.K. GDP grew 0.6
percent from the fourth quarter, when the economy shrank 0.3 percent. Output had
declined 0.1 percent in the third quarter last year.

Economists had expected the first quarter growth to come in at 0.4 percent. GDP
rose 0.2 percent year-on-year in the first quarter, beating expectations for
stagnation.

While the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index has climbed by 0.8 percent, the French CAC 40
Index and the German DAX Index are both up by 0.7 percent.

CRH, a provider of building materials solutions, has shown a substantial move to
the upside after reaffirming its full-year guidance.

Irish homebuilder Cairn Homes has also rallied after saying that the demand
backdrop for its well located, energy efficient new homes remains exceptionally
high across all tenure types.

German online retailer Zalando has also moved notably higher after Berenberg
upgraded its rating on the stock to Buy from Hold.

U.S. Economic Reports

Federal Reserve Board Governor Michelle Bowman is due to speak on 'Financial
Stability Risks: Resiliency and the Role of Regulators' before the Texas Bankers
Association Annual Convention at 9 am ET.

At 10 am ET, the University of Michigan is scheduled to release its preliminary
reading on consumer sentiment in the month of May. The consumer sentiment index
is expected to dip to 76.0 in May after falling to 77.2 in April.

Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan is also due to participate in a
moderated question-and-answer session before the Louisiana Bankers Association
Annual Conference at 10 am ET.

Also at 10 am ET, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari is
scheduled to participate in a question-and-answer session moderated by Rick
King, chair of Minnesota's Technology Advisory Council.

Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee is due to participate in
a moderated question-and-answer session before an Economic Club of Minnesota
luncheon at 12:45 pm ET.

At 1:30 pm ET, Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr is
scheduled to give the commencement speech before the American University School
of Public Affairs graduation ceremony.

Stocks In Focus

Shares of Novavax (NVAX) are skyrocketing in pre-market trading after the
biotechnology company entered into a co-exclusive licensing agreement with
Sanofi (SNY).

The terms of the agreement include a co-exclusive license to co-commercialize
Novavax's current stand-alone adjuvanted Covid-19 vaccine worldwide and a sole
license to Novavax's adjuvanted Covid-19 vaccine for use in combination with
Sanofi's flu vaccines.

Solar energy company Array Technologies (ARRY) is also seeing substantial
pre-market strength after reporting an unexpected first quarter profit on better
than expected revenues.

On the other hand, shares of Akamai Technologies (AKAM) are likely to come under
pressure after the cloud company provided disappointing second quarter guidance.



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Copyright RTT News/dpa-AFX
Name WKN Börse Kurs Datum/Zeit Diff. Diff. % Geld Brief Erster Schluss
Dow Jones Industrial Average ( 969420 DOW JONES Indizes 39.065,26 23.05.24 23:18:55 -605,78 -1,53% 38.970,00 39.165,97 39.694,95 39.671,04
NASDAQ COMP. 969427 NASDAQ Indizes 16.736,03 23.05.24 23:16:01 -65,51 -0,39% - - 16.996,38 16.801,54

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