London, May 2, 2024
"Shell delivered another quarter of strong operational and financial
performance, demonstrating our continued focus on delivering more value with
less emissions. We continue to deliver on our Capital Markets Day targets,
giving us the confidence to commence another $3.5 billion buyback programme for
the next three months."
Shell plc Chief Executive Officer, Wael Sawan
DELIVERING STRONG Q1 RESULTS
* Q1 2024 Adjusted Earnings(1) of $7.7 billion, reflecting strong operational
performance across the business. CFFO of $13.3 billion for the quarter
includes a working capital outflow of $2.8 billion.
* Commencing a $3.5 billion share buyback programme, expected to be completed
by Q2 2024 results announcement. Over the last 4 quarters, total shareholder
distributions paid were 41% of CFFO.
* 2024 cash capex outlook unchanged: $22 - 25 billion.
+----------------------------------+-------------+-----------+------+----------+
|$ million(1) |Adj. Earnings|Adj. EBITDA| CFFO |Cash capex|
+----------------------------------+-------------+-----------+------+----------+
|Integrated Gas |3,680 |6,136 |4,712 |1,041 |
+----------------------------------+-------------+-----------+------+----------+
|Upstream |1,933 |7,888 |5,727 |2,010 |
+----------------------------------+-------------+-----------+------+----------+
|Marketing |781 |1,686 |1,319 |465 |
+----------------------------------+-------------+-----------+------+----------+
|Chemicals & Products(2) |1,615 |2,826 |(349) |500 |
+----------------------------------+-------------+-----------+------+----------+
|Renewables & Energy Solutions |163 |267 |2,466 |438 |
+----------------------------------+-------------+-----------+------+----------+
|Corporate |(368) |(92) |(545) |37 |
+----------------------------------+-------------+-----------+------+----------+
|Less: Non-controlling interest | | | | |
|(NCI) |70 | | | |
+-----+----------------------------+-------------+-----------+------+----------+
| |Q1 2024 |7,734 |18,711 |13,330|4,493 |
| +----------------------------+-------------+-----------+------+----------+
|Shell|Q4 2023 |7,306 |16,335 |12,575|7,113 |
+-----+----------------------------+-------------+-----------+------+----------+
(1)Income/(loss) attributable to shareholders for Q1 2024 is $7.4 billion.
Reconciliation of non-GAAP measures can be found in the unaudited results,
available at www.shell.com/investors (https://www.shell.com/investors).
(2)Chemicals & Products adjusted earnings at a subsegment level are as follows -
Chemicals $(0.1) billion and Products $1.7 billion.
* CFFO of $13.3 billion for Q1 2024 includes a working capital outflow of $2.8
billion, given higher crude and oil products prices towards the end of the
quarter. CFFO reflects tax payments of $2.6 billion. Net debt reduced by $3
billion over the quarter to $40.5 billion.
----------------------+---------+---------+---------+---------+---------
$ billion(1) | Q1 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q3 2023 | Q4 2023 | Q1 2024
+---------+---------+---------+---------+---------
Divestment proceeds | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0
----------------------+---------+---------+---------+---------+---------
Free cash flow | 9.9 | 12.1 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 9.8
----------------------+---------+---------+---------+---------+---------
Net debt | 44.2 | 40.3 | 40.5 | 43.5 | 40.5
----------------------+---------+---------+---------+---------+---------
(1 )Reconciliation of non-GAAP measures can be found in the unaudited results,
available at www.shell.com/investors (https://www.shell.com/investors).
Q1 2024 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS
----
INTEGRATED GAS
Key data | Q4 2023 | Q1 2024 | Q2 2024 outlook
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Realised liquids price ($/bbl) | 65 | 73 | -
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Realised gas price ($/mscf) | 8 | 9 | -
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Production (kboe/d) | 901 | 992 | 920 - 980
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
LNG liquefaction volumes (MT) | 7.1 | 7.6 | 6.8 - 7.4
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
LNG sales volumes (MT) | 18.1 | 16.9 | -
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
* Adjusted Earnings were lower than in Q4 2023, due to lower LNG trading and
optimisation results partially offset by higher volumes, mainly driven by
Prelude. Trading and optimisation results were strong, but significantly
lower compared to an exceptional Q4 2023.
* Q2 2024 production and liquefaction outlook reflects scheduled maintenance
across the portfolio.
----
UPSTREAM
Key data | Q4 2023 | Q1 2024 | Q2 2024 outlook
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Realised liquids price ($/bbl) | 80 | 77 | -
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Realised gas price ($/mscf) | 8 | 6 | -
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Liquids production (kboe/d) | 1,361 | 1,331 | -
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Gas production (mscf/d) | 2,952 | 3,136 | -
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Total production (kboe/d) | 1,870 | 1,872 | 1,630 - 1,830
---------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
* Adjusted Earnings in Q1 2024 reflect increased well write-offs (mainly in
Albania). Q4 2023 taxation charge reflected favourable deferred tax
movements, not reoccurring in Q1 2024.
* Q2 2024 production outlook reflects scheduled maintenance across the
portfolio.
----
MARKETING
Key data | Q4 2023 | Q1 2024 | Q2 2024 outlook
-----------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Marketing sales volumes (kb/d) | 2,997 | 2,763 | 2,700 - 3,200
-----------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Mobility (kb/d) | 2,179 | 1,991 | -
-----------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Lubricants (kb/d) | 78 | 87 | -
-----------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Sectors & Decarbonisation (kb/d) | 740 | 686 | -
-----------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
The Wholesale commercial fuels business, previously reported in Chemicals &
Products, is reported in the Marketing segment (Mobility) with effect from Q1
2024.
Comparative information for Marketing and Chemicals & Products has been revised.
* Marketing Adjusted Earnings were in line with Q4 2023. Seasonally higher
margins in Lubricants were offset by lower Mobility volumes. Q4 2023 had
higher opex offset by one-off tax benefits, not reoccurring in Q1 2024.
----
CHEMICALS & PRODUCTS
Key data |Q4 2023|Q1 2024|Q2 2024 outlook
----------------------------------------------+-------+-------+---------------
Refinery processing intake (kb/d) |1,315 |1,430 |-
----------------------------------------------+-------+-------+---------------
Chemicals sales volumes (kT) |2,588 |2,883 |-
----------------------------------------------+-------+-------+---------------
Refinery utilisation (%) |81 |91 |87 - 95
----------------------------------------------+-------+-------+---------------
Chemicals manufacturing plant utilisation (%)|62 |73 |72 - 80
----------------------------------------------+-------+-------+---------------
Global indicative refining margin ($/bbl) |10 |12 |-
----------------------------------------------+-------+-------+---------------
Global indicative chemical margin ($/t) |125 |150 |-
----------------------------------------------+-------+-------+---------------
The Wholesale commercial fuels business, previously reported in Chemicals &
Products, is reported in the Marketing segment (Mobility) with effect from Q1
2024.
Comparative information for Marketing and Chemicals & Products has been revised.
* Higher refining margins in Q1 2024 driven by higher utilisation and global
supply disruptions. Chemicals losses reduced due to improved margin
environment and utilisation.
* Trading and optimisation significantly higher than in Q4 2023.
----
RENEWABLES & ENERGY SOLUTIONS
Key data | Q4 2023 | Q1 2024
--------------------------------------------------------+---------+---------
External power sales (TWh) | 68 | 77
--------------------------------------------------------+---------+---------
Sales of natural gas to end-use customers (TWh) | 175 | 190
--------------------------------------------------------+---------+---------
Renewables power generation capacity* | 6.6 | 6.7
--------------------------------------------------------+---------+---------
* in operation (GW) | 2.5 | 3.2
--------------------------------------------------------+---------+---------
* under construction and/or committed for sale (GW) | 4.1 | 3.5
--------------------------------------------------------+---------+---------
*Excluding Shell's equity share of associates where information cannot be
obtained
Segment earnings for Q1 2024 are $0.6 billion. Reconciliation of non-GAAP
measures can be found in the unaudited results, available on
www.shell.com/investors (http://www.shell.com/investors).
* Adjusted Earnings in line with Q4 2023, driven by lower trading and
optimisation margins, offset by lower opex.
* Renewable generation capacity in operation increased as CrossWind, an
offshore wind project in the Netherlands, and Madison Fields, a solar
project in the USA, reached commercial operation.
Renewables and Energy Solutions includes renewable power generation, the
marketing and trading and optimisation of power and pipeline gas, as well as
carbon credits, and digitally enabled customer solutions. It also includes the
production and marketing of hydrogen, development of commercial carbon capture
and storage hubs, investment in nature-based projects that avoid or reduce
carbon emissions, and Shell Ventures, which invests in companies that work to
accelerate the energy and mobility transformation.
----
CORPORATE
Key data | Q4 2023 | Q1 2024 | Q2 2024 outlook
--------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
Adjusted Earnings ($ billion) | (0.6) | (0.4) | (0.6) - (0.4)
--------------------------------+---------+---------+-----------------
* The Adjusted Earnings outlook is a net expense of $1.7 - 2.3 billion for the
full year 2024. This excludes the impact of currency exchange rate and fair
value accounting effects.
----
UPCOMING INVESTOR EVENTS
May 21, 2024 Annual General Meeting
August 1, 2024 Second quarter 2024 results and dividends
October 31, 2024 Third quarter 2024 results and dividends
USEFUL LINKS
Results materials Q1 2024 (https://www.shell.com/investors/results-and-
reporting/quarterly-results/latest-results.html)
Quarterly Databook Q1 2024 (https://www.shell.com/investors/results-and-
reporting/data-
supplements.html#iframe=L2NnLWlmcmFtZS9hbm51YWwtcmVwb3J0LzIwMjAvIy9kYXRhc2hlZXRf
c2hlbGxfYXIvbGluZS8xMiwxMywxNS8wLDEsMiwzLDQvcGVyaW9kcy8w)
Dividend announcement Q1 2024 (https://www.shell.com/investors/dividend-
information/dividend-announcements/first-quarter-2024-interim-dividend.html)
Webcast registration Q1 2024 (https://shell.lumiconnect.com/114902722)
----
ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE (NON-GAAP) MEASURES
This announcement includes certain measures that are calculated and presented on
the basis of methodologies other than in accordance with generally accepted
accounting principles (GAAP) such as IFRS, including Adjusted Earnings, Adjusted
EBITDA, CFFO excluding working capital movements, Cash capital expenditure, free
cash flow, Divestment proceeds and Net debt. This information, along with
comparable GAAP measures, is useful to investors because it provides a basis for
measuring Shell plc's operating performance and ability to retire debt and
invest in new business opportunities. Shell plc's management uses these
financial measures, along with the most directly comparable GAAP financial
measures, in evaluating the business performance.
This announcement may contain certain forward-looking non-GAAP measures for cash
capital expenditure and divestments. We are unable to provide a reconciliation
of these forward-looking non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP financial
measures because certain information needed to reconcile the non-GAAP measures
to the most comparable GAAP financial measures is dependent on future events
some of which are outside the control of the company, such as oil and gas
prices, interest rates and exchange rates. Moreover, estimating such GAAP
measure with the required precision necessary to provide a meaningful
reconciliation is extremely difficult and could not be accomplished without
unreasonable effort. Non-GAAP measures in respect of future periods which cannot
be reconciled to the most comparable GAAP financial measure are estimated in a
manner which is consistent with the accounting policies applied in Shell plc's
consolidated financial statements.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
The companies in which Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are
separate legal entities. In this announcement "Shell", "Shell Group" and "Group"
are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Shell plc and
its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words "we", "us" and "our" are also
used to refer to Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general or to those who work
for them. These terms are also used where no useful purpose is served by
identifying the particular entity or entities. "Subsidiaries", "Shell
subsidiaries" and "Shell companies" as used in this announcement refer to
entities over which Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. The
terms "joint venture", "joint operations", "joint arrangements", and
"associates" may also be used to refer to a commercial arrangement in which
Shell has a direct or indirect ownership interest with one or more parties. The
term "Shell interest" is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or
indirect ownership interest held by Shell in an entity or unincorporated joint
arrangement, after exclusion of all third-party interest.
This announcement contains forward-looking statements (within the meaning of the
U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) concerning the financial
condition, results of operations and businesses of Shell. All statements other
than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking
statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations
that are based on management's current expectations and assumptions and involve
known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results,
performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in
these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things,
statements concerning the potential exposure of Shell to market risks and
statements expressing management's expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts,
projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by
their use of terms and phrases such as "aim"; "ambition"; "anticipate"';
"believe"; "commit"; "commitment"; "could"; "estimate"; "expect"'; "goals";
"intend"; "may"; "milestones"; "objectives"; "outlook"; "plan"; "probably";
"project"; "risks"; "schedule"; "seek"; "should"; "target"; "will"; "would" and
similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the
future operations of Shell and could cause those results to differ materially
from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this
(report), including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil
and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell's products; (c) currency
fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f)
loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical
risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential
acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of
such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and
countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, judicial, fiscal
and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate
change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and
regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and
renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or
advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for
shared costs; (m) risks associated with the impact of pandemics, such as the
COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak, regional conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine
war, and a significant cyber security breach; and (n) changes in trading
conditions. No assurance is provided that future dividend payments will match or
exceed previous dividend payments. All forward-looking statements contained in
this announcement are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary
statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place
undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional risk factors that may
affect future results are contained in Shell plc's Form 20-F for the year ended
December 31, 2023 (available at www.shell.com/investors/news-and-filings/sec-
filings.html and www.sec.gov). These risk factors also expressly qualify all
forward-looking statements contained in this (report) and should be considered
by the reader.Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this
announcement, May 2, 2024. Neither Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries
undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking
statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In
light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied
or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this announcement.
All amounts shown throughout this announcement are unaudited. The numbers
presented throughout this announcement may not sum precisely to the totals
provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures, due to
rounding.
Shell's Net Carbon Intensity
Also, in this announcement we may refer to Shell's "Net Carbon Intensity" (NCI),
which includes Shell's carbon emissions from the production of our energy
products, our suppliers' carbon emissions in supplying energy for that
production and our customers' carbon emissions associated with their use of the
energy products we sell. Shell's NCI also includes the emissions associated with
the production and use of energy products produced by others which Shell
purchases for resale. Shell only controls its own emissions. The use of the
terms Shell's "Net Carbon Intensity" or NCI is for convenience only and not
intended to suggest these emissions are those of Shell plc or its subsidiaries.
Shell's Net-Zero Emissions Target
Shell's operating plan, outlook and budgets are forecasted for a ten-year period
and are updated every year. They reflect the current economic environment and
what we can reasonably expect to see over the next ten years. Accordingly, they
reflect our Scope 1, Scope 2 and NCI targets over the next ten years. However,
Shell's operating plans cannot reflect our 2050 net-zero emissions target, as
this target is currently outside our planning period. In the future, as society
moves towards net-zero emissions, we expect Shell's operating plans to reflect
this movement. However, if society is not net zero in 2050, as of today, there
would be significant risk that Shell may not meet this target.
The content of websites referred to in this announcement does not form part of
this announcement.
We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this announcement that the
United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us
from including in our filings with the SEC. Investors are urged to consider
closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC
website www.sec.gov.
The financial information presented in this announcement does not constitute
statutory accounts within the meaning of section 434(3) of the Companies Act
2006 ("the Act"). Statutory accounts for the year ended December 31, 2023 were
published in Shell's Annual Report and Accounts, a copy of which was delivered
to the Registrar of Companies for England and Wales, and in Shell's Form 20-F.
The auditor's report on those accounts was unqualified, did not include a
reference to any matters to which the auditor drew attention by way of emphasis
without qualifying the report and did not contain a statement under sections
498(2) or 498(3) of the Act.
The information in this announcement does not constitute the unaudited condensed
consolidated financial statements which are contained in Shell's first quarter
2024 unaudited results available on www.shell.com/investors.
CONTACTS
* Media: International +44 207 934 5550; USA +1 832 337 4355
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